Friday, 17 August 2018

The Future Belongs To The Past

A review of 'Timeline' by Michael Crichton

Note: The following review was originally published at Amazon.co.uk on 1st. September 2013. 

As typifies Michael Crichton, 'Timeline' - a work of fiction - begins with an essay, 'Science at the End of the Century', about the real world that has informed the author's fiction. Crichton argues that just as it was wrong for the scientists of the late Victorian era to assume they had discovered all that was significant about the world, it is wrong for the scientists of our era to believe that our understanding of the physical world is complete, or even anywhere near accurate or true. Even the fundamental physical assumptions that govern our lives can be overturned without ceremony. New paradigms still await us.

Yet the most important point in 'Timeline' does not concern science or technology, but history, and it's found in the story itself. Appropriately, the prescient remarks are attributed to 'Robert Doniger', the physicist-character responsible for Michael Crichton's fictitious 'time travel' technology:-

[quote]"The purpose of history is to explain the present - to say why the world around us is the way it is. History tells us what is important in our world, and how it came to be. It tells us why the things we value are the things we should value. And it tells us what is to be ignored, or discarded. That is true power - profound power. The power to define a whole society.

"The future lies in the past - in whoever controls the past." [unquote][p480].

The past doesn't just leave a genetic legacy but a cultural legacy too. Our own individual lives can be seen as travelling along a road that stretches back into the distant past and on into the distant future to whatever is ahead. It is true that the future belongs to the past. How we interpret what has happened affects what we do now and how, and it also affects what will happen in the future.

However, as 'Timeline' demonstrates, history is really a summation of millions of human-scale incidents, with perhaps a tiny number selected for the scrutiny of posterity. This begs an important question: As we walk along the eternal 'road' of history that stretches deep into the past and yonder into the future, do our own small actions have any impact on human events? An answer is offered in this novel.

A group of graduate students trained in the culture of the medieval period, are sent back to 14th. century France in the middle of the Hundred Years' War to retrieve an academic colleague who is stranded there. After various plot turns, they find themselves holed-up in an English-held castle, which is under siege from the French. They have orders from the warlord who has taken them that they are to make Greek Fire (incendiary substances that are resistant to water), having let slip they know the method. The dilemma they briefly discuss among themselves is whether they may be acting unethically and altering the course of history by aiding the invading French against the English using these sophisticated incendiary techniques, of a kind hitherto undiscovered. The English are, after all, meant to lose the castle at the hands of the French and so putting advanced technology in their hands might rather spoil things. One character suggests, plausibly, that as this is just a local battle, then even if the English win, that quirk is hardly likely to affect the overall outcome of the Hundred Years' War. Another points out that whatever aid might be given the English, history says that the French win and that's that. His reasoning is that whatever aid is given, the result can never be an English victory, and so must always be a French victory, if necessary due to other factors, accidental or otherwise.

The idea of history as a canon of inevitability is elucidated quite well early in the novel, in a discussion of so-called 'time paradoxes' and why they cannot happen. Again from Doniger:-

[quote]"Say you go to a baseball game. The Yankees and the Mets - the Yankees are going to win, obviously. You want to change the outcome so that the Mets win. What can you do? You're just one person in a crowd. If you try to go to the dugout, you will be stopped. If you try to go onto the field, you will be hauled away. Most ordinary actions available to you will end in failure and will not alter the outcome of the game.

"Let's say you choose a more extreme action: you'll shoot the Yankee pitcher. But the minute you pull a gun, you are likely to be overpowered by nearby fans. Even if you get off a shoot, you'll almost certainly miss. And even if you succeed in hitting the pitcher, what is the result? Another pitcher will take his place. And the Yankees will win the game.

"Let's say you choose an even more extreme action. You will release a nerve gas and kill everyone in the stadium. Once again, you're unlikely to succeed, for all the reasons you're unlikely to get a shot off. But even if you do manage to kill everybody, you will have not changed the outcome of the game. You may argue that you have pushed history in another direction - and perhaps so - but you haven't enabled the Mets to win the game. In reality, there is nothing you can do to make the Mets win. You remain what you were: a spectator.

"And this same principle applies to the great majority of historical circumstances. A single person can do little to alter events in any meaningful way. Of course, great masses of people can 'change the course of history.' But one person? No."[unquote][p172].

This is very true. History is not an accident or a quirk of local idiosyncraces. It is governed by social forces. That does not exclude the potential for individual decisions and actions to have a significant impact, but the overall picture is of larger forces at work.

I think time travel is a popular theme in fiction because it heroically subverts these broad historical truths. Instead of being one of Doniger's helpless 'spectators', in a time travel novel (or film) we each enter our own fantasy 'Yankee v. Mets' game in which unreal historical rules apply and we really can determine the outcome. We become historically significant and can 'change history'. In this sense, 'Timeline' can be seen as a non-traditional 'time travel' novel in that the classic subversive theme is rejected by Crichton in favour of historical and scientific realism.

But time travel novels, stories and films are also popular because they naturally allow for all kinds of exotic plot twists. Often, the twists are of a literal nature, so that we end with the puzzling, and unresolvable 'grandfather paradox' - i.e. the character engages in some positive act that threatens his own existence. 'Timeline' is a little different in that it adopts a thoroughly 'realist' attitude to the time travel problem. The author cicumvents the traditional grandfather paradox by deciding that there is no paradox - and strictly-speaking, there is no 'time travel' here (the term is used for convenience only). Instead, the characters travel between multiverses, of which there are infinite number. The science behind this intriguing idea is explained clearly and well. This does take the edge a little off the castle dilemma described above, but that doesn't stop the characters behaving as if there is a paradox, or at least an ethical dilemma, when it comes to 'changing the past'. But given the technological basis, why should that matter? Why should the outcome of the entire Hundred Years' War not be altered in one universe if history (and thus the future from that point) is fixed anyway in the 'home universe'? But if history is inevitable, does this not also lend credence to the notion of Fate? Are we slaves to the past entirely?

What's perhaps a little frustrating about this novel is that Crichton does not exploit this new and interesting dilemma more. If we are to accept the technological solution, then what we are presented with is a kind of 'consequence-free' time travel, in which the past really is a theme park or laboratory (as the case may be) and history becomes a truly experimental science embracing actual Popperian falsification. Instead of that potential innovation, it has to be said for all the promise and potential hidden here, the story in 'Timeline' is a bit flat. Even so, it's a very good novel. When I first read Doniger's inexplicable fate at the close of the novel, I was disappointed as I felt it was unnecessary, but I put it down simply to the author's need to add some kind of cataclysmic ending that would do justice to the novel's promise. However, on reflection, I can see the author's perspective. 'Timeline' ends on the same note that it opened: as a medieval morality tale. There are no real 'goodies' or 'baddies' here. The putative 'villains' of the medieval 'Timeline' are simply acting in a manner appropriate for their period. That's part of what makes all this interesting. Theirs was a time before pacifying modernism took hold. The good-bad axis that we are familiar with in our everyday lives was not unfamiliar to medieval society - they had their laws and Chivalric Code and so on - but these constructions are really modern, retroactive, simplifications of what was in fact a complicated and nuanced social world that mixed raw violence with civility. Having set the scene, there is no room for contemporary moral piety. The characters who left for the medieval world are irrevocably changed by it.

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